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Federal investigation of Powell and the Fed knocks risk sentiment. Concerns grow about Fed independence as gold hits a record. Are markets expecting Trump to scale back his rhetoric?
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In-Depth Analysis
2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.
Gold skyrockets in 2025 amid safe haven flows and Fed cut bets. Investors anticipate more than two rate cuts for next year. Geopolitical conflicts, tariffs and central bank buying also drivers.
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Cryptocurrencies
Monero hit a new all-time high of $598 on Monday as interest in privacy-focused coins grows. Retail traders lean into risk as XMR’s derivatives market strengthens, with futures Open Interest swelling to $177 million.
Ripple is trading downward toward $2.00 at the time of writing on Monday, weighed down by declining retail interest. Despite steady inflows into related Exchange Traded Funds, XRP faces increasing downside risks that could push its price below $2.00.
Bitcoin holds above $90,000 after briefly trading beyond $92,000 amid a DoJ criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Ethereum remains range-bound between $3,000 support and $3,300 resistance, weighed down by declining retail demand.
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Stocks
Lennar Corporation (LEN) had a strong session today, finishing the day up over 8.5% from yesterday’s close. The stock moved higher on news surrounding President Trump’s mortgage bond plan, which acted as a clear catalyst for today’s price action.
Yearly Forecast
Gold hit multiple new record highs throughout 2025. Trade-war fears, geopolitical instability and monetary easing in major economies were the main drivers behind Gold’s rally.
What a year! Donald Trump’s return to the United States (US) Presidency was no doubt what led financial markets throughout 2025. His not-always-unexpected or surprising decisions shaped investors’ sentiment, or better said, unprecedented uncertainty.
The Mexican Peso (MXN) has appreciated sharply against the US Dollar (USD) in 2025, poised for a 23% gain amid an environment of trade uncertainty and increasing geopolitical tensions between Mexico and the United States governments.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) adoption story is unraveling and the king crypto could see institutional demand return in 2026. Crypto asset managers like Grayscale are betting on Bitcoin’s rally to a new all-time high next year, and themes like Bitcoin as a reserve asset are emerging.
