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Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro.
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In-Depth Analysis
2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.
Gold skyrockets in 2025 amid safe haven flows and Fed cut bets. Investors anticipate more than two rate cuts for next year. Geopolitical conflicts, tariffs and central bank buying also drivers.
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Cryptocurrencies
Cardano rises above the 50-day EMA resistance amid a risk-on mood across the crypto market. The MACD upholds positive divergence, increasing the potential for a 20% breakout to $0.505.
Ripple is showing strength, trading at $2.36 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The cross-border remittance token has maintained a steady uptrend for six consecutive days, underscoring steady inflows into XRP spot Exchange Traded Funds.
Bitcoin is retracing toward support at $93,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after reaching a previous day’s high of $94,789. Ethereum and Ripple uptrend has cooled after several days of persistent gains, suggesting potential profit-taking.
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Stocks
CES, the annual Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, is a major annual showcase for technology products and platforms. For markets, it is a useful signal on where innovation spending and commercial adoption may be heading.
Yearly Forecast
Gold hit multiple new record highs throughout 2025. Trade-war fears, geopolitical instability and monetary easing in major economies were the main drivers behind Gold’s rally.
What a year! Donald Trump’s return to the United States (US) Presidency was no doubt what led financial markets throughout 2025. His not-always-unexpected or surprising decisions shaped investors’ sentiment, or better said, unprecedented uncertainty.
The Mexican Peso (MXN) has appreciated sharply against the US Dollar (USD) in 2025, poised for a 23% gain amid an environment of trade uncertainty and increasing geopolitical tensions between Mexico and the United States governments.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) adoption story is unraveling and the king crypto could see institutional demand return in 2026. Crypto asset managers like Grayscale are betting on Bitcoin’s rally to a new all-time high next year, and themes like Bitcoin as a reserve asset are emerging.
