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After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.
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In-Depth Analysis
2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.
Gold skyrockets in 2025 amid safe haven flows and Fed cut bets. Investors anticipate more than two rate cuts for next year. Geopolitical conflicts, tariffs and central bank buying also drivers.
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Cryptocurrencies
Stellar (XLM) price is trading below $0.22 at the time of writing on Wednesday after failing to close above the key resistance earlier this week. Bearish momentum continues to strengthen, with open interest falling and short bets rising.
Pi Network (PI) edges higher by almost 1% at press time on Wednesday, bouncing off the $0.2000 level after a four-day decline. The recovery lacks momentum as the social interest surrounding Pi Network declines. Technically, PI is at a crossroads, struggling for a rebound as momentum is lacking.
Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple continue to trade in red on Wednesday as recent breakout attempts lose momentum near key resistance levels. BTC failed to reclaim the $90,000, ETH slipped below $3,000, while XRP faced rejection near $1.96.
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Stocks
When I look at Build-A-Bear Workshop right now, what immediately stands out to me is the technicals. The stock is currently breaking out of a downsloping trendline, which is something I always pay close attention to when evaluating potential upside opportunities.
Yearly Forecast
The US Dollar Index, which measures the value of the US Dollar against six major currencies, is extending gains for the third successive session and trading around 98.60 during the European hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for December later in the day.
Having wrapped up 2025 on a positive note, the Pound Sterling (GBP) eyes another meaningful and upbeat year against the US Dollar (USD) at the start of 2026.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is not having the best year-end. A combination of weak economic growth, concerns about government spending, and uncertainty about the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) monetary policy path has created a perfect storm for the JPY, which has been one of the worst-performing major currencies in the last quarter of 2025.
Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.
