- EUR/USD continues to notch higher on Thursday in the Asian session
- US Treasury yields undermine the demand for the US dollar.
- US Dollar Index retreats towards a two-week low on Powell’s comments.
The selling tone surrounding the US dollar amid falling US Treasury yields keeps EUR/USD on the verge of daily gains. After touching the low of 1.1753, the pair continues to march higher since the beginning of the week
At the time of writing, the EUR/USD is trading at 1.1855, up 0.11% on the day.
The successive gains in EUR/USD were primarily credited to the downbeat performance of the US dollar. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the greenback against the six majors, remained on the backfoot amid falling US Treasury yields. The tug of war between growth and inflationary concerns took a toll on Fed’s latest monetary policy’s meeting.
The Fed left the target range for its federal rates unchanged at 0-0.25% and assets purchasing also remained unchanged at the current pace of $120 billion.
In addition to that, Fed Chair Jerome Powell cautioned that although there has been substantial improvement in the economy still there is a way to go before the central bank would adjust its ultra-accommodative policy, which also kept investors away from the US dollar.
On the other hand, the single currency is boosted by the upbeat economic data and general risk-on mood. The IHS Markit Eurozone Composite PMI rose to 60.6 in June from 59.5 in the previous month.
Being said, the stronger economic data in the US and Eurozone improved the risk appetite and drove market participants towards riskier assets. The risk-on market sentiment favors EUR/USD upside gains.
The important data on the economic calendar to look out for would be the EURO Unemployment Rate, Consumer Confidence data, and German Haromized Inflation Rate. The US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Initial Jobless Claims would also be on the trader’s radar.
EUR/USD additional levels
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EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
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