WTI Price Analysis: Testing the $80 level on broad US Dollar
|- Crude oil prices retreat alongside equities at the beginning of the week.
- OPEC+'s decision to trim oil output in early April revived growth-related concerns.
- WTI is technically neutral in the near term but holding within a well-limited range.
Crude oil prices are down on Monday as a risk-off mood underpins the American currency. The black gold stands a few cents above an intraday low of $79.71 a barrel and is nearing its latest range's base.
OPEC+ oil output cut
Early April, the Organization of the Oil Exporting Countries and Allies (OPEC+) surprised market players by announcing a cut in their oil output of around 1.16 million barrels per day, pushing West Texas Intermediate (WTI) roughly 5.5% higher on April 3, leaving a $4 unfilled gap. WTI has been consolidating between $79 and $81.80 since the announcement, unable to find fresh directional impetus.
Higher energy prices have been partially responsible for skyrocketing inflation, and OPEC+'s decision came as a complete shock and revived concerns not only about price pressure but also about economic growth.
Technical Outlook
The United States crude oil consolidative phase gives no signs of changing in the near term. Technical indicators are flat in intraday charts, with modest downward slopes, which only reflect the absence of buying interest but fell short of supporting a steeper decline.
The base of the range comes as a strong static support level, with a break below $79.00 favoring a downward extension towards the $75.60 area, where the pair closed on March 31. On the other hand, the pair could accelerate its advance towards $82.65, this year's high, once above the aforementioned $81.80.
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