WTI gains ground above $83.50 on geopolitical risks, summer demand optimism
|- WTI edges higher to $83.60 on Tuesday.
- The hope for a strong summer driving demand and oil supply concerns lift the black gold.
- A higher-for-longer rate narrative in the US might weigh on the WTI price.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $83.60 on Tuesday. The rise of the WTI price is bolstered by renewed fears of Middle East geopolitical risks and expectations of rising summer fuel demand.
Oil traders have added long positions amid worries that tensions between Israel and the Iran-backed Hezbollah militia in Lebanon could spread and reduce global oil supplies. This, in turn, might lift the black gold in the near term. Additionally, the Atlantic weather season remains a concern, with Hurricane Beryl barreling through the Caribbean as a Category 4 storm, said Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at the Price Futures Group.
Apart from this, strong summer driving demand is likely to boost WTI prices for the time being. Last week, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that both output and demand for main petroleum products reached a four-month high in April.
On the other hand, the higher-for-longer rates in the United States might weigh on the WTI price as it can slow economic growth and reduce oil demand. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Friday that monetary policy is working, but it’s too early to tell when it will be appropriate to cut the interest rate. Daly further stated, "If inflation stays sticky or comes down slowly, rates would need to be higher for longer.”
WTI Oil FAQs
WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media.
Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa.
The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency.
OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 13 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.
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