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USD/ZAR Price Analysis: Drops to 1-month lows, seems vulnerable to slide further

  • USD/ZAR added to the overnight losses and remained depressed for the second straight day.
  • The set-up favours bearish traders and supports prospects for further near-term weakness.

The USD/ZAR pair witnessed some follow-through selling for the second straight session on Thursday and dropped to near one-month lows, around the 16.80 region in the last hour.

Given the overnight rejection slide from the top end of a three-week-old descending trend-line, a subsequent fall below the 16.90 horizontal support might now be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders.

The negative outlook is further reinforced by bearish technical indicators on the daily chart. However, slightly oversold conditions on the 1-hourly chart warrant some caution before placing fresh bearish bets.

Nevertheless, the pair still seems vulnerable to challenge the mentioned channel support, around the 16.65 region. Some follow-through selling will set the stage for an extension of the ongoing downward trajectory.

Bears might then aim to retest June monthly swing lows, around the 16.35-30 region, and eventually dragging the pair further towards testing sub-16.00 level, or support near the 15.85-75 horizontal zone.

On the flip side, the 17.00 mark now becomes immediate resistance. Any subsequent move up might still be seen as a selling opportunity and remain capped near the trend-channel resistance, around the 17.15-20 region.

USD/ZAR 1-hourly chart

Technical levels to watch

USD/ZAR

Overview
Today last price 16.8608
Today Daily Change -0.0773
Today Daily Change % -0.46
Today daily open 16.9381
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 17.1879
Daily SMA50 17.5721
Daily SMA100 17.4332
Daily SMA200 16.0433
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 17.2465
Previous Daily Low 16.9211
Previous Weekly High 17.4187
Previous Weekly Low 16.8735
Previous Monthly High 17.6219
Previous Monthly Low 16.3363
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 17.0454
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 17.1222
Daily Pivot Point S1 16.824
Daily Pivot Point S2 16.7098
Daily Pivot Point S3 16.4985
Daily Pivot Point R1 17.1494
Daily Pivot Point R2 17.3607
Daily Pivot Point R3 17.4748

 

 

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