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USD/MXN Price Analysis: Mexican peso at nine-month highs, looks to 19.70

  • Mexican peso keeps rising versus the US dollar, hit highest since July 2021.
  • USD/MXN shows oversold readings but no significant sign of consolidation.
  • Price remains under the 200-week SMA at 20.15.

The USD/MXN opened the week falling back under 19.80, after posting the third weekly decline in a row. The bearish bias remains intact, with the pair looking to test 19.70 in the short-term and near the critical support area of 19.55.

The US dollar needs to recover levels above 19.85 to alleviate the immediate bearish pressure, favoring some consolidation. While under 20.15, moves to the upside could look unstable; a weekly close above that level could suggest a temporal bottom has been established.

The fact that USD/MXN has fallen in 17 out of the last 19 trading days puts in perspective how far the Mexican peso’s rally has gone. Technical indicators like RSI under 30 show oversold levels. Despite the descriptions, no significant signs of a reversal or stabilizations are noted yet as the cross keeps breaking support levels.

A consolidation under 19.70 should keep the doors open to further losses. The next medium-term solid support is seen at 19.55, 2021 low, but before an interim level is seen at 19.65.

USD/MXN daily chart

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price 19.7408
Today Daily Change -0.1187
Today Daily Change % -0.60
Today daily open 19.8595
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 20.4741
Daily SMA50 20.5129
Daily SMA100 20.6643
Daily SMA200 20.416
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 19.9333
Previous Daily Low 19.7478
Previous Weekly High 20.1906
Previous Weekly Low 19.7478
Previous Monthly High 21.4682
Previous Monthly Low 19.8175
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 19.8187
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 19.8625
Daily Pivot Point S1 19.7604
Daily Pivot Point S2 19.6613
Daily Pivot Point S3 19.5749
Daily Pivot Point R1 19.946
Daily Pivot Point R2 20.0324
Daily Pivot Point R3 20.1315

 

 

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