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USD/INR Price Analysis: Indian Rupee struggles around 82.50 as 50-DMA probes buyers

  • USD/INR remains sidelined between four-month-old resistance line and 50-DMA.
  • A convergence of 100-DMA, ascending trend line from late January appears a tough nut to crack for the pair sellers.
  • Indian Rupee sellers need successful break of 82.80 to retake control.

USD/INR remains indecisive around 82.60, challenging the two-day losing streak, as Indian Rupee traders seek fresh clues during early Friday. In doing so, the pair also takes clues from the cautious mood in the market ahead of the early signals for the US inflation, namely preliminary readings of February’s US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectations.

That said, the quote’s trading within the key technical hurdles also challenges the momentum traders of late.

It’s worth observing that the bullish MACD signals and firmer RSI (14), however, keep the USD/INR buyers hopeful. On the same line could be the pair’s bounce off the 50-DMA.

As a result, the pair’s another attempt to cross the downward-sloping resistance line from October 2022, close to 82.80 by the press time, appears on the table.

Following that, a run-up towards the all-time high marked in late 2022 around 83.42 can’t be ruled out.

Meanwhile, the 50-DMA restricts the immediate downside of the USD/INR pair to around 82.20 before highlighting the 82.00 support confluence, which includes the 100-DMA and three-week-old ascending trend line.

If at all the USD/INR bears keep the reins past 82.00, the odds of witnessing a gradual south run towards the previous monthly low near 80.90 can’t be ruled out.

Overall, USD/INR is likely to remain depressed but the downside room appears limited, which in teases buyers to build positions for future gains.

USD/INR: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 82.595
Today Daily Change 0.0306
Today Daily Change % 0.04%
Today daily open 82.5644
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 81.7954
Daily SMA50 82.1788
Daily SMA100 82.0357
Daily SMA200 80.4669
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 82.7735
Previous Daily Low 82.1626
Previous Weekly High 82.5127
Previous Weekly Low 81.4605
Previous Monthly High 83.072
Previous Monthly Low 80.8822
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 82.396
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 82.5402
Daily Pivot Point S1 82.2268
Daily Pivot Point S2 81.8893
Daily Pivot Point S3 81.616
Daily Pivot Point R1 82.8377
Daily Pivot Point R2 83.111
Daily Pivot Point R3 83.4485

 

 

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