US CPI: USD rallies should be sold into unless Core measure surprises to the upside – TDS
|Economists at TD Securities analyze how tomorrow's all important US Consumer Price Index (CPI) print could impact the Dollar and the USD/JPY and EUR/USD pairs.
The bar is high to compel a reversal of fortune
“The market has moved back to fading Fed hawkishness and putting the USD on the back-foot. An on-consensus print does not strike us as a particular threat to the latter. Moreover, it is not evidently clear that a positive surprise on core inflation would tremendously alter the path for the USD either.”
“As much as the USD looks stretched on a tactical basis, we think the bar is high to compel a reversal of fortune. USD rallies should be sold into.”
“With the BoJ meeting next week, USD/JPY is a clear candidate for more downside. Meanwhile, EUR/USD has shown the capacity to rally again; 1.0780/00 is all that stands in the way of another melt-up.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.