Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD sinks below $32.00 on rising US yields
|- Silver tumbles 1.60%, trading at $31.67 as rising US yields dampen demand for the precious metal.
- Technical outlook suggests a possible ‘double top’ formation, with the RSI pointing toward further downside.
- Key support lies at $31.50, with potential targets at the September 30 low of $30.89 and the 100-DMA at $29.74.
- A break above $32.00 could lead to a test of the YTD high at $32.95.
Silver price reversed course on Monday, tumbled over 1.60% as rising US yields dented appetite for the precious metal, which failed to cling to $32.00 a troy ounce. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD trades at $31.67 after reaching a daily peak of $32.33.
XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
Silver price remains upward biased, though it appears to form a ‘double top’ chart pattern, which could open the door for a reversal.
From a momentum standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) aims downward toward its neutral line, which could lead to further downside.
If XAG/USD drops beneath $31.50, sellers’ next target will be the September 30 cycle low of $30.89. Further weakness will push prices toward the 100-day moving average (DMA) at $29.74, followed by the 50-DMA at $29.49.
Conversely, if bulls push XAG/USD above $32.00, the year-to-date (YTD) high could be tested at $32.95.
XAG/USD Price Action – Daily Chart
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
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