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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Kiwi suffers as risk-off mode kicks in

  • NZD/USD has fallen sharply and trades 0.81% lower on Thursday.
  • The price met some resistance a the 127.2% Fib extensions.

NZD/USD 4-hour chart

NZD has struggled today as the currency is often correlated with the risk environment. The NZD/USD had been living on borrowed time after the last dovish RNBZ changes not really having a material effect on the NZD at the time. It seems now there has been an additional excuse for a correction.

Looking at the chart, the price found some resistance at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. This is also very close to the blue resistance zone from a previous wave back in December 2019. On the downside, the move stopped at a support level which had been tested four times recently. This was at the psychological 0.67 figure but if it does break the red internal trendline is lying in wait.

The indicators are pretty mixed at the moment. The MACD histogram is in the red but the signal lines are still above the mid-level. The Relative Strength Index is close to the oversold zone but a move back above 50 could indicate the uptrend is back on. 

Overall, this is still an uptrend but watch out for a lower high lower low pattern. If the risk environment doesn't improve there could be some more pain to come but tomorrow the market gets the latest NFP figure and this is sure to inspire some volatility.

Additional levels

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6708
Today Daily Change -0.0064
Today Daily Change % -0.95
Today daily open 0.6772
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6613
Daily SMA50 0.6589
Daily SMA100 0.6398
Daily SMA200 0.6383
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.679
Previous Daily Low 0.6741
Previous Weekly High 0.6744
Previous Weekly Low 0.6514
Previous Monthly High 0.6764
Previous Monthly Low 0.6488
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6771
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.676
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6745
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6719
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6696
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6794
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6817
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6843

 

 

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