High profits to become leverage for S&P500– Societe Generale
|Analysts at Societe Generale expect profits – the glue that holds the S&P 500 Index together – to reach new highs in 2H24.
S&P500 is at a critical juncture
“After a +15% rally in the index year to date, we expect the S&P 500 to stay in buy-the-dip mode, with the next upleg coming closer to a Fed rate-cutting cycle, which we see starting in early 2025e. Our S&P 500 target level is unchanged at 5,500 for year-end 2024.”
“The outperformance of mega caps vs the average S&P 500 stock is now at a critical juncture. Narrow breadth typically occurs in a bear market or when a few concentrated stocks have the potential to take us into a ‘bubble’ – neither of which is our base case. We see cyclical opportunities outside Tech too.”
“The AI ‘boom’ becomes a TMT-like bubble, driving the S&P 500 to 6,666 or 24.7x $270 (the March 2000 peak valuation x our 2025 S&P 500 EPS estimate). Oil prices head towards $60bbl on the back of significant OPEC spare capacity. These two provide some upside risks.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.