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Goldman Sachs: oil price sell-off due to concerns of excess supply in 2019 - Reuters News

The sharp sell-off is likely a result of growing concerns that supplies would exceed demand in 2019, according to Goldman Sachs.

Key points (Source: Reuters)

  • Technical positioning factors are exacerbating volatility.
  • Fall in oil prices also reflects low trading liquidity ahead of Thanksgiving, broader cross-commodity and cross-asset sell-off, as growth concerns continue to mount.
  • Expects high price volatility until evidence that oil market fundamentals are improving, requiring a decline in OPEC production, signs that demand growth is resilient.
  • Recovery in prices will require that the Brent forward curve returns into backwardation from its sudden and significant flattening.

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