Gold prices have the capacity to go even lower – TDS
|
How much further can the bounce in Gold prices run? Any way you slice it, this is not the same set-up for flows as a few short months ago, TDS’ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
Gold price may continue its downward movement
“Pent-up selling activity unleashed by the US elections, resulting in a massive shift from the liquidity vacuum that enabled a melt-up in prices. While macro funds have already liquidated nearly 60% of their extreme net length, they are now unlikely to rebuild an extreme position given a vastly different outlook for the Fed, with a discounted path that is no longer expected to lead to an 'overly easy' policy stance.”
“CTA liquidations have been modest thus far, which conversely suggests that a further uptape will only be supported by a modest reversal in CTA flows. ETF investors show little sign of reaccumulating thus far. Shanghai traders are undergoing their most significant round of liquidations in years. Overall, our flows-based analysis still doesn't suggest we've seen the lows in Gold prices thus far.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.