Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to advance nicely in the second half of the year as Fed pauses – ANZ
|Repricing of the Fed’s terminal rate will drive the Gold price in the short-term. Economists at ANZ Bank expect the Fed to pause its interest rate hiking cycle this year. This should lower the USD and leave US real yields intact, then lifting XAU/USD in the second half of 2023.
A weakening greenback will be a key tailwind for Gold prices
“Improving fundamentals across other major economies could limit the greenback’s upside. Our DXY forecast trajectory remains unchanged, and has the index falling to 98 by end of the year. This will be a tailwind for the Gold market.”
“We believe recalibration of market expectations around the FFR could keep gold prices volatile in the short-term. Nevertheless, we still expect the Fed to pause and for yields to trend lower towards year-end, which should support Gold prices in H2 2023.”
“We see last year’s monetary tightening starting to show up in slowing economic growth later this year. This could have a dual impact: slowing economic growth could trigger monetary policy easing, and Gold could attract haven flows.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.