Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes $1,831 and US inflation – Confluence Detector
|- Gold price continues to remain at the mercy of the Treasury yields’ price action.
- Powell likely hesitates on balance sheet run-off ahead of key US inflation.
- Gold Price Forecast: Will US inflation boost XAU/USD further to $1,835?
Gold price holding higher ground, as Fed Chair Powell vowed to tame inflation and put off-balance sheet runoff to "perhaps later in the year". Nevertheless, the price action in the US dollar and the Treasury yields continue to influence gold’s valuations, with Wednesday’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) eagerly waited for a decisive direction.
“Economists expect inflation to have hit 7% YoY in the final report for 2021. Political pressure around inflation makes headline prices more important than Core CPI at this point,” FXStreet’s Senior Analyst Yohay Elam explains.
Read: Gold 2022 Outlook: Correlation with US T-bond yields to drive yellow metal
Gold Price: Key levels to watch
The Technical Confluences Detector shows that the gold price is re-approaching the previous day’s high of $1,823, where the pivot point one-week R1 hangs around.
If that hurdle is scaled, then gold bulls will march higher towards the strong cap around $1,831, the convergence of the previous month’s and previous week’s highs.
The next significant barrier is seen at the pivot point one-day R2 at $1,839.
On the flip side, the immediate downside could be checked by the intersection of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day and the previous low four-hour at $1,817.
A dense cluster of healthy support levels is stacked up around $1,814, making it a tough nut to crack for gold bears.
That demand area is the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, Fibonacci 61.8% one-week and Fibonacci 38.2% one-day.
Should the downside pressure intensify, robust cushion at $1,809 could come into play. At that point, the SMA10 one-day and Fibonacci 61.8% one-day converge.
The last line of defense for gold buyers is envisioned at the SMA5 one-day at $1,805.
Here is how it looks on the tool
About Technical Confluences Detector
The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.