GBP/USD Price Analysis: Signs of bearish reversal solidifies as risk impulse sours
|- The absence of follow-up buying after a corrective move indicates a lack of strength in the Pound Sterling.
- A recovery move in the US Dollar Index has been recorded amid a decline in investors’ risk appetite.
- The 20-and 50-period EMAs are on the verge of delivering a bear cross around 1.2200.
The GBP/USD pair is displaying a lackluster performance as the auction profile has trimmed to a narrow range of 1.2180-1.2210 in the early Tokyo session. Earlier, the Cable witnessed a steep fall after failing to hit the critical resistance of 1.2300. A sell-off in Cable was triggered due to a sheer recovery move by the US Dollar Index (DXY).
A corrective move in the S&P500 futures on Monday as caution soars in market sentiment ahead of the United States Producer Price Index (PPI) data, triggered a risk-aversion theme. Also, the speech from Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey citing weaker inflation projections failed to provide support to the Pound Sterling.
On an hourly scale, a failure by Pound Sterling in keeping the Cable above the horizontal resistance plotted around January 12 high at 1.2243, signaled a loss in the upside momentum. Also, chances of further weakness in the major are solid amid an absence of follow-up buying despite finding an immediate cushion at around 1.2175.
The 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are on the verge of delivering a bearish crossover of around 1.2205, which would be added to the downside filters.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range, which indicates that investors are awaiting a fresh trigger for a decisive move.
The Cable will display a sheer downside if it drops below Monday’s low at 1.2171 as it will drag the major toward January 11 low at 1.2100 followed by the psychological support at 1.2000.
On the flip side, a confident break above Monday’s high at 1.2285 will drive the asset toward December 5 high at 1.2344. A breach of the latter will expose the asset for to re-test a seven-month high at 1.2447.
GBP/USD hourly chart
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