GBP/USD extends losses below 1.2150, focus shifts to Core PCE, UK GDP
|- GBP/USD weakens on upbeat US macro data released on Tuesday.
- Market caution due to the Fed’s hawkish stance keeps strengthening the US Dollar (USD).
- Traders will likely watch the UK’s GDP data, which is expected to remain consistent.
GBP/USD continues the losing streak that began on September 20, trading below 1.2150 during the Asian session on Wednesday. Moderate economic data from the United States (US) could reinforce the prevailing pressure on the pair.
US Consumer Confidence released on Tuesday for September declined to 103.0 from the previous reading of 108.7 in August. While Building Permits rose to 1.541M in August from 1.443M prior.
Moreover, the House Price Index (MoM) for July climbed to 0.8% compared to the market expectations of 0.5% from the previous rate of 0.4%.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish stance on the interest rate trajectory keeps pushing the US Treasury yields, which is boosting the US Dollar (USD). The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note retreats from the highest level since October 2007, and hovers near 4.51% at the time of writing.
Furthermore, traders await the US Durable Goods Orders report to be released on Wednesday. Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred measure of consumer inflation, is due on Friday. The annual rate is anticipated to reduce from 4.2% to 3.9%.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades around 106.30 by the press time, the highest level since December.
On Tuesday, Minnesota Fed President Neel Kashkari expressed the view that another rate hike is necessary, followed by the need to maintain rates at that level. He also mentioned the possibility of achieving a soft landing for the economy, which implies a gradual slowdown without causing a recession.
Recently, various Federal Reserve officials have offered differing perspectives on monetary policy. Some have advocated for patience, while others, such as Fed Governor Bowman, have emphasized the need for another interest rate hike.
Considering the latest "dot plots" presented in the September Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), it appears that the Fed is projecting a 25 basis point (bps) rate hike toward the end of the year. Furthermore, the Fed anticipates keeping rates above the 5% threshold throughout the following year.
On the United Kingdom’s (UK) side, traders are heavily reliant on the most recent decision from the Bank of England (BoE) in the absence of economic data, which was perceived as dovish. This perception was influenced by an inflation report indicating a cooling down of inflationary pressures.
However, the latest economic data from the UK, notably softer retail sales, and PMIs (Purchasing Managers' Index) has revived concerns of a potential recession. Upcoming UK’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data will be eyed on Friday, which is expected to remain consistent.
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