GBP/JPY Price Prediction: Pulling back within established short-term downtrend
|- GBP/JPY is correcting within a short-term downtrend.
- The odds favor a resumption lower once the correction completes.
GBP/JPY has pulled back up to resistance at 186.51 in a counter-trend reaction after plumbing new lows.
The descending sequence of peaks and troughs since the September 2 high suggests the pair is in a short-term downtrend.
GBP/JPY 4-hour Chart
Since it is a principle of technical analysis that “the trend is your friend,” more weakness is expected.
There is every chance, therefore, that the pullback will soon run out of steam and prices will resume their downtrend.
A break below the 183.72 (September 11 low) would confirm a lower low to the next bearish target at 182.82 (August 6 swing low), followed by 180.06, the low of August 5.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator is showing bullish convergence with price. On September 4, the RSI entered oversold territory when the price bottomed; on September 12, the price is even lower, but the RSI is actually higher. The non-correspondence is a mildly bullish indication.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.