GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Could negative divergence between RSI and price action trigger a correction?
|- GBP/JPY struggles to break the 184.00 mark amid potential Japanese FX intervention, ending Tuesday with near flatline movement.
- Negative divergence in RSI suggests a potential for a pullback, with the Tenkan-Sen line inching closer to price action.
- Key levels to watch include resistance at 186.34 and several support levels leading down to the Kijun-Sen line at 178.21.
GBP/JPY consolidates at around the 183.60s area after hitting a year-to-date (YTD) high of 183.90, shy of hitting the 184.00 mark. On Tuesday, the GBP/JPY finished the session around 183.59, nearby its open price, forming a doji. That said, GBP/JPY is set to trade sideways unless a catalyst spurs a break to eigh-year highs or a correction gets underway. As the Asian session commences, the GBP/JPY trades at 153.65, almost flat.
GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook
The GBP/JPY remains upward biased, though of late, the pair has struggled to get to new YTD highs, as threats of Japan’s government intervention in the FX markets keep traders on their toes. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator remains at overbought levels, printing lower peaks, while the GBP/JPY registers higher highs. That means a negative divergence surfaced, which could pave the way for a pullback.
Additionally, the Tenkan-Sen line is getting close to price action, opening the door for a fall below the latte, which could spur a GBP/JPY sell signal, opening the door for a pullback toward the Senkou Span A line at 180.39 before slumping toward the June 20 daily low of 179.92. Break below will expose a test of the June 16 low of 178.82, slightly above the Kijun-Sen line at 178.21.
Conversely, if the GBP/JPY cracks the 184.00 mark, the first resistance appears at December’s 2015 high of 186.34, followed by the 190.00 figure.
GBP/JPY Price Action – Daily chart
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