GBP: Huw Pill to speak – ING
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Bank of England policymaker Swati Dhingra reiterated her dovish position yesterday by stressing that gradual rate cuts will still leave monetary policy in restrictive territory and weigh on the economy. She was one of the two members, alongside Catherine Mann (a hawk turned dove) voting for a 50bp cut on 6 February, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
EUR/GBP upside as relatively limited
"Today, we’ll hear some remarks by Chief Economist Huw Pill. He sits on the hawkish side of the spectrum and any dovish comments can have a tangible impact on rate expectations. Last week, Governor Andrew Bailey characterised the uptick in inflation as temporary, but market rate expectations remain rather cautious, with 50bp priced in by year-end."
"We expect three more cuts this year, also due to the worsening fiscal picture. Anyway, we see EUR/GBP upside as relatively limited due to the euro’s own negative, and think Cable is a much cleaner way to play GBP downside."
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