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EUR/USD: Reversal not enough to negate downside pressure – Commerzbank

Karen Jones, analyst at Commerzbank, suggests that for the EUR/USD pair, despite the rally on Friday the market did not do enough to negate downside pressure.

Key Quotes

“Intraday Elliott wave counts remain neutral to negative. Beyond this attention remains still on the 1.1027 recent low and the base of its down channel at 1.0948. Below here lies the 78.6% retracement at 1.0814/78.6% retracement.”

“Nearby resistance is the 200 day ma at 1.1281, but key resistance is 1.1339/58, the 2018-2019 down channel and the 55 week ma. A weekly close above this latter level is needed for us to adopt an outright bullish stance.”

“The market will need to regain the 55 week ma and channel at 1.1339/58 to generate upside interest.”

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