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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Bounces-off key support near 1.1110 ahead of German/ US data

  • EUR/USD rebounds from key Fibo support at 1.1107 amid renewed US Dollar selling.
  • Risk aversion and pre-German inflation and US GDP nervousness could limit the pair’s upswing.
  • The daily technical setup continues to stay constructive for EUR/USD in the near term.

EUR/USD is back in the green zone early Thursday, reversing a part of Wednesday’s steep sell-off. The further upside, however, appears elusive if risk aversion gathers steam and revives the safe-haven demand for the US Dollar (USD).

Markets trade with caution following the American AI giant’s, Nvidia, disappointing sales forecast and amid increased nervousness heading toward the release of this week’s top-tier economic data.

Germany is set to publish its preliminary inflation data while the US calendar will feature the second estimate of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) later Thursday.

From a short-term technical perspective, the EUR/USD uptrend remains intact so long as the 1.1107 support holds. That level is the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement (Fibo) level of the August rally from 1.0775 to 1.1202, 13-month highs.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stays firm above 50, currently near 63, justifying the major’s bullish potential.

Acceptance above the 1.1150 psychological level is needed on a daily closing basis to retest the yearly top just above 1.1200. Ahead of that, Wednesday’s high of 1.1186 could challenge the bearish commitments.

On the flip side, a sustained break below the abovementioned 23.6% Fibo support at 1.1107 could open up the downside toward the 38.2% Fibo level of the same advance, aligned at 1.1045.

EUR/USD buyers will then find immediate support at the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 1.1026. Additional declines could threaten the 1.1000 round level.

EUR/USD: Daily chart

(This story was corrected on August 29 at 06:00 GMT to say that "Additional declines could threaten the 1.1000 round level., not thwart.)

 

Euro PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the US Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.14% -0.12% -0.04% -0.13% -0.26% -0.80% -0.26%
EUR 0.14%   0.01% 0.10% -0.00% -0.13% -0.66% -0.11%
GBP 0.12% -0.01%   0.08% -0.02% -0.14% -0.66% -0.08%
JPY 0.04% -0.10% -0.08%   -0.08% -0.23% -0.78% -0.18%
CAD 0.13% 0.00% 0.02% 0.08%   -0.12% -0.65% -0.08%
AUD 0.26% 0.13% 0.14% 0.23% 0.12%   -0.51% 0.06%
NZD 0.80% 0.66% 0.66% 0.78% 0.65% 0.51%   0.57%
CHF 0.26% 0.11% 0.08% 0.18% 0.08% -0.06% -0.57%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

 

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