ECB Preview: More is better for the EUR/USD – TDS
|The EUR is likely to react more to the ECB's influence on sentiment than traditional monetary policy signals. Here, more from the Governing Council is likely to be seen as better for the currency, for now, per TD Securities.
Key quotes
“Hawkish (10%): ECB has done enough. EUR/USD may knee-jerk higher but should begin to weaken towards 1.0765 as sentiment sours because the ECB is unable or unwilling to do more.”
“Base Case (50%): Rates, QE, forward guidance all unchanged. ECB to buy ‘fallen angels’ & extend LTROs as downside risks to growth/inflation are severe. EUR/USD shakes off downbeat outlook & grinds higher on continued support.”
“Dovish (25%): Additional liquidity support. EUR/USD may dip at first but rebounds on better sentiment. The ECB remains the only game in town.”
“More Dovish (15%): ECB increases size of PEPP. ECB will indeed do whatever it takes in a timely manner, given swift deterioration in growth and inflation outlooks. EUR/USD extends gains toward key resistance near 1.10.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.