DXY: Tomorrow brings PPI data – OCBC
|US CPI is upon us tonight (930pm SGT) and this should give Fed officials a final look at inflation environment ahead of next week’s FOMC. A 25bp cut is more or less a done deal for next week’s FOMC unless US CPI unexpectedly surprises a lot to the upside. DXY was last at 106.56, OCBC’s FX analyst Christopher Wong notes.
Daily momentum is mild bearish
“Headline CPI may have ticked higher partly because of the base effect but core CPI is expected to come in steady at 3.3%. For DXY, there could be room for downside should core CPI come in softer. But given FOMC, and a refreshed dot plot next week, there may also be limitations to how much lower the USD can go.”
“Daily momentum is mild bearish while RSI is flat. Head and shoulders pattern appears to have formed but DXY has yet to break below the neckline. A decisive break below neckline should see bears gather momentum.”
“Support at 105 levels (38.2% fibo retracement of Sep low to Nov high), 104.60 (50 DMA) and 104.10 (200 DMA, 50% fibo). Resistance at 106.70 (second shoulder). Tomorrow brings PPI data.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.