DXY: 2-way trades to dominate – OCBC
|The US Dollar (USD) traded higher, as vote count skews in favour of Trump at time of writing. DXY was last at 104.92, OCBC’ FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Trump outcome may see a play-up of US-China trade tensions
“The 7 swings states of Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada matter (account for 93 electoral votes). Early count (based of 79% votes counted) shows Trump gaining the momentum in Georgia while West Virginia flipped in favour of Trump. It is still early to call at this point and news flow of tally count should continue to drive 2-way trades in FX markets intra-day.”
Daily momentum remains bearish while RSI rose from near oversold conditions. Resistance at 105.20 levels. Support at 103.70/80 levels (21, 200 DMAs, 50% fibo), 102.90/103.10 levels (100 DMAs, 38.2% fibo retracement of 2023 high to 2024 low) and 102.30 (50 DMA).
“Outcome will have implications on FX as shifts in fiscal, foreign and trade policies may occur, depending on whether Trump or Harris is elected as the next President. A Trump outcome may see a play-up of US-China trade tensions and should pose upward pressure on USD, UST yields (i.e. long gold, short CNH). However, a Kamala Harris outcome should see anxiety ease. On this note, USD, UST yield can ease and Asian/ high-beta FX should find a breather.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.