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BoJ’s Ueda: Future monetary policy guidance will depend on economy, price, and market development at the time

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Tuesday that the Japanese central bank doesn’t have any preset idea on the timing, or pace of future rate hikes, adding that future monetary policy guidance will depend on economy, price, market development at the time, per Reuters. 

Key quotes

 “Don't have any preset idea on timing, pace of future rate hike.”

“If trend inflation accelerates in line with our forecast, we will adjust the degree of monetary support through interest rate hike.”

“If our price forecast changes, that will also be a reason to change policy.”

“Future monetary policy guidance will depend on economy, price, and market development at the time.”

“Didn't say anything new on BoJ policy last week in Washington.”

“Trend inflation is still somewhat below 2%, so need to maintain accommodative monetary conditions for the time being.”

“If geopolitical risks, weak domestic demand cause disruptions in markets, BoJ will respond through flexible, nimble liquidity provisions.”

Market reaction

The USD/JPY pair is trading at 154.75, losing 0.06% on the day at the time of writing.

Bank of Japan FAQs

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is the Japanese central bank, which sets monetary policy in the country. Its mandate is to issue banknotes and carry out currency and monetary control to ensure price stability, which means an inflation target of around 2%.

The Bank of Japan has embarked in an ultra-loose monetary policy since 2013 in order to stimulate the economy and fuel inflation amid a low-inflationary environment. The bank’s policy is based on Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE), or printing notes to buy assets such as government or corporate bonds to provide liquidity. In 2016, the bank doubled down on its strategy and further loosened policy by first introducing negative interest rates and then directly controlling the yield of its 10-year government bonds.

The Bank’s massive stimulus has caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers. This process has exacerbated more recently due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks, which have opted to increase interest rates sharply to fight decades-high levels of inflation. The BoJ’s policy of holding down rates has led to a widening differential with other currencies, dragging down the value of the Yen.

A weaker Yen and the spike in global energy prices have led to an increase in Japanese inflation, which has exceeded the BoJ’s 2% target. Still, the Bank judges that the sustainable and stable achievement of the 2% target has not yet come in sight, so any sudden change in the current policy looks unlikely.



 

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