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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls eye 0.6700 but bears are lurking ahead of the Fed

  • AUD/USD bulls could be about to throw in the towel in a test of 0.6700.
  • Bears eye risks of a move lower into the Federal Reserve.

AUD/USD has rallied to the highest since mid-May following the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting that raised interest rates. The cash rate is now at an 11-year high of 4.1%. This leaves the technical outlook bullish but there is a risk of a correction, in the meanwhile, as the following illustrates. The major catalyst, if there is going to be a further upside, will be from the Federal Reserve interest rate decision on June 14 and the outcome. A dovish resolve would be expected to support AUD/USD bulls on their path higher. 

AUD/USD weekly chart

The weekly trajectory is to the upside in a W-formation with the last leg with plenty still to go as it takes on the neckline resistance currently:

AUD/USD daily chart

Zooming in, the daily chart shows the price in a W-formation also, but this could be about to complete with a pullback to restest the commitment of the bulls. A declaration of the momentum with a creeping correction into the Fed meeting could be on the cards. 

 

 

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