AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bounces off 61.8% golden ratio towards 0.6900
|- AUD/USD picks up bids to rebound from the key Fibonacci retracement support.
- 12-day-old resistance line, 200-SMA join bearish MACD signals to challenge recovery.
- The mid-July swing high can acts as additional support during the south-run to yearly low.
AUD/USD renews intraday high around 0.6880 during early Wednesday morning in Europe. In doing so, the Aussie pair rebounds from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the July-August upside.
Given the recovery moves from an important Fibonacci ratio, as well as the broad US dollar weakness, AUD/USD is likely to stretch the latest run-up towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near 0.6910.
However, a downward sloping resistance line from August 15, around 0.6930 at the latest, restricts short-term advances of the pair.
Following that, the 200-SMA level surrounding 0.6950 may act as the last defense of the AUD/USD bears.
Meanwhile, pullback moves may have to successfully break the 61.8% golden ratio around 0.6850 to convince sellers.
Even so, the mid-July swing high and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels, respectively near 0.6800 and 0.6880, could test the AUD/USD sellers before directing them to the yearly low marked in July near 0.6680.
To sum up, AUD/USD is likley to remain firmer but the upside room appears limited.
AUD/USD: Four-hour chart
Trend: Limited upside expected
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