AUD/USD falls sharply to 0.6740 as US Dollar steadies ahead of US Retail Sales
|- AUD/USD slides to near 0.6740 as the US Dollar gains ground after Fed Powell’s speech.
- Fed Powell reiterated the need of more good inflation data for reducing interest rates.
- Investors await the US Retail Sales and the Aussie Employment data.
The AUD/USD pair drops sharply to 0.6740 in Tuesday’s European session. The Aussie asset declines as the US Dollar (USD) manages to get firm-footing as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell recognized the need of more soft inflation for policymakers to gain greater confidence before cutting interest rates in his speech at the Economic Club of Washington on Monday.
However, Fed Powell acknowledged that the central bank has made some progress on inflation in the second quarter. Powell said, "We've had three better readings, and if you average them, that's a pretty good place," Reuters reported. His comments on progress in disinflation fuelled confidence that rate cuts are not so far.
Meanwhile, the Fed is widely anticipated to start reducing interest rates from the September meeting. Also, traders bet that there will be two rate cuts instead of one, as signaled by officials in the latest dot plot.
Firm speculation that the Fed will start reducing interest rates from the September meeting has increased risk-appetite of investors. S&P 500 futures have posted nominal gains in European trading hours. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, steadies above 104.00.
Going forward, investors will focus on the United States (US) monthly Sales data for June, which will be published at 12:30 GMT data. The Retail Sales are estimated to have remained unchanged.
In the Asia-Pacific region, investors await the Australian Employment data for June scheduled for Thursday. Economists expect that there were 20K fresh payrolls against 39.7K onboarded in May. The Unemployment Rate is expected to have remained steady at 4.0%. Signs of tight labor market conditions would boost expectations of further policy-tightening by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Currently, investors expect that the RBA will join the global rate-cut trend next year.
Economic Indicator
Employment Change s.a.
The Employment Change released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics is a measure of the change in the number of employed people in Australia. The statistic is adjusted to remove the influence of seasonal trends. Generally speaking, a rise in Employment Change has positive implications for consumer spending, stimulates economic growth, and is bullish for the Australian Dollar (AUD). A low reading, on the other hand, is seen as bearish.
Read more.Next release: Thu Jul 18, 2024 01:30
Frequency: Monthly
Consensus: 20K
Previous: 39.7K
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics
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