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What to expect next after BTC/USD break above $50k

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has managed to break above the psychologically round leve of $50k. Can the cryptocurrency challenge the previous high again?

Let’s review the long-term charts to analyse the remainder of the year 2021. Will the 2021 bull run outpace the 2017 bull run?

Price charts and technical analysis

The BTC/USD is showing a strong bullish recovery after a deep bearish pullback:

  1. Price action has managed to break above the 21 ema zone again.

  2. The bullish momentum is expected to challenge the previous top (blue arrow).

  3. The previous top is a strong resistance zone and could stop the uptrend.

  4. A bearish retracement (orange arrows) could complete an ABC (blue) in wave 4 (pink).

  5. A bullish bounce (green arrow) could take place at the support zone (green box).

  6. A bull flag pattern (grey arrows) however indicates that the immediate uptrend remains valid. In that case, a wave 4’ finished at the recent low.

On the daily chart, we see that the bullish momentum is strong because price action remains above the 21 ema zone for a long time:

  1. The bullish price swing is either a wave C or 3 (orange).

  2. This depends on the price reaction at the resistance zone (red box).

  3. A bearish reversal (red arrow) indicates a wave C and more bearish correction.

  4. A flag pattern (grey arrows) indicates a wave 3 continuation.


The analysis has been done with the indicators and template from the SWAT method simple wave analysis and trading. For more daily technical and wave analysis and updates, sign-up to our newsletter

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