Making a case for 40% rally in Polkadot price as DOT development activity hits an all-time

• Polkadot price looks bullish from both short-term and long-term outlooks.
• An 11% upswing to $6.89 seems more than likely on the lower timeframe.
• Invalidation of the bullish outlook for DOT will occur on the breakdown of the $5.75 support level.

Polkadot (DOT) price shows a clean double bottom formation on the daily timeframe, which predicts a potential bullish reversal. If this outlook is followed by a spike in buying pressure, a quick upswing is likely for DOT. 

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Polkadot price reveals positive outlooks for DOT holders

Polkadot price on the daily chart shows that the $6.36 to $8.78 range formed in mid-June 2022 is crucial. A close observation reveals that this range has clearly defined breakouts in the past. From a long-term perspective for DOT, investors could expect a retest of the range’s midpoint at $7.57. 

A decisive flip of this hurdle on the daily timeframe could open the path for Polkadot price to tag the range high at $8.78. This move, in total, would constitute a 38% upswing.

DOT/USDT 1-day chart

A four-hour chart shows that traders can capitalize on a much smaller rally for Polkadot price. Interested investors can accumulate DOT at the current level and look for acceptance above the long-term range’s lower level at $6.36. 

A successful move would allow DOT to trigger a quick run-up and tag the 62% retracement level of the 35% crash witnessed between February and March 2023. This move would constitute a 10.6% gain for traders. 

In some cases, Polkadot price might extend to retest the 70.5% retracement level at $7.08, bringing the total gain to 14.4%. 

DOT/USDT 4-hour chart

Supporting this bullish outlook for Polkadot price is the Development Activity, which hit an all-time high of 358.57 on March 21. This index tracks the pure development-related activity by DOT developers in the project’s public GitHub repository.

This uptick from 117.14 on January 8 suggests that developers have been working on the improvement of the project. Often, investors consider this index as one of the signs before buying the project’s underlying token. A project that’s bustling with developer activity suggests a safe investment and a spike in development activity supports a bullish outlook for the underlying token. 

DOT development activity 

While the bullish outlook for Polkadot price is clear, investors should note that the invalidation level is $5.75. If this support structure is flipped into a resistance barrier, it would attract sellers and potentially trigger a 5% crash to $5.47.