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BTC/USD Crypto Signal

Last Thursday’s signals were not triggered, as there was no bullish price action when the price reached $3,338.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades must be entered before 5pm Tokyo time today only.

Long Trades

  • Long entry after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $3,380 or $3.018.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Short Trades

  • Go short after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $3,592 or $3,925.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote last Thursday that it looked like the area around $3,925 had a confluence of resistance and so was likely to be today’s pivotal level. I remained broadly bearish. My broad bias was correct, but the price never reached $3,925. The price has continued to fall, and the long-term bearish trend line has held and kept the price down. Over the weekend the price made a new 1-year low as it reached very close to $3,200.

The picture still looks bearish as long as the descending trend line holds, and this is now confluent with horizontal resistance at $3,593 which looks like a very attractive level at which to find a short trade entry. There is some support below, but it looks rather weak and unreliable. I would take a bearish bias later if the price tests and reverses at $3,593.

There is nothing important due today concerning the USD.

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