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Will CME plans to launch BTC trading catalyze Bitcoin price rally to $70K?

  • Bitcoin price breached $65,500 on Wednesday with a god candle after US April CPI data.
  • Bullish momentum continues to grow with higher lows on daily RSI chart.
  • Futures exchange CME plans to launch Bitcoin trading, platform could boost mainstream adoption.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has another brewing catalyst in the works following the macro-economic tailwinds on Wednesday. Inspired by the landmark approval of spot BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January, reports indicate that the world's largest futures exchange intends to launch Bitcoin trading on its platform. 

Also Read: Bitcoin Price Outlook: Will CPI report showing inflation eased in April push BTC to $70K?

Daily digest market movers: CME Group to capitalize on surging Bitcoin demand among Wall Street institutions

The World’s largest futures exchange, CME Group, is planning to launch Bitcoin trading on its platform, Financial Times reports.

The Chicago-based financial services company is looking to capitalize on the burgeoning demand for BTC this year among Wall Street institutions. The money managers are progressively looking to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency sector through the recently approved exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Citing people familiar with the matter, the report reveals that the CME Group has been in talks with traders looking to buy and sell Bitcoin on a regulated marketplace.

While the plan is still in the works, actualization would have bullish implications for crypto, including promoting mainstream adoption. Other value additions include investors being able to place basis trades easily.

This is a strategy where an investor seeks to profit from the price difference between a cryptocurrency and its corresponding futures contract. Notably, the CME Group already hosts trading in BTC futures.  Basis trading, therefore, involves borrowing money to sell futures while buying the underlying asset and extracting gains from the small gap between the two. 

The allure of BTC comes courtesy of ETFs with some of the world’s largest financial institutions already turning from Bitcoin skeptics into advocates. Among them:

  • Wells Fargo now holds Grayscale's spot Bitcoin ETF, joining the trend of institutional adoption.
  • Susquehanna International Group holds $1.8 billion in Bitcoin ETFs.
  • State of Wisconsin Investment Board (SWIB) invested $162 million in Bitcoin ETFs, making it the first state institution to go public with spot BTC ETF holdings.
  • JPMorgan, the largest bank in the US, has disclosed holdings in spot Bitcoin ETFs, per SEC filing.
  • Millennium Management discloses $2 billion spot Bitcoin ETF portfolio.

However, based on reported 13F disclosures, BlackRock’s IBIT holders have set a record. It boasts 414 institutional holders.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs continue to shape and accelerate the market. Reports indicate that the investment product saw up to $303 million in inflows on Wednesday, following a slow few weeks.

Crypto ETF FAQs

An Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) is an investment vehicle or an index that tracks the price of an underlying asset. ETFs can not only track a single asset, but a group of assets and sectors. For example, a Bitcoin ETF tracks Bitcoin’s price. ETF is a tool used by investors to gain exposure to a certain asset.

Yes. The first Bitcoin futures ETF in the US was approved by the US Securities & Exchange Commission in October 2021. A total of seven Bitcoin futures ETFs have been approved, with more than 20 still waiting for the regulator’s permission. The SEC says that the cryptocurrency industry is new and subject to manipulation, which is why it has been delaying crypto-related futures ETFs for the last few years.

Bitcoin spot ETF has been approved outside the US, but the SEC is yet to approve one in the country. After BlackRock filed for a Bitcoin spot ETF on June 15, the interest surrounding crypto ETFs has been renewed. Grayscale – whose application for a Bitcoin spot ETF was initially rejected by the SEC – got a victory in court, forcing the US regulator to review its proposal again. The SEC’s loss in this lawsuit has fueled hopes that a Bitcoin spot ETF might be approved by the end of the year.

Technical analysis: A flip of $67,063 into support could send Bitcoin price to $73,777 ATH

Bitcoin price bullish bias remains intact as it continues to hold above the $65,500 threshold. The odds continue to favor the upside, but this will only be realized if the bulls can overcome selling pressure near the $67,063 level.

Based on the volume profile, a lot of bearish hands wait to interact with Bitcoin price near the aforementioned level, shown by the gray spikes on the volume profile.

A decisive candlestick close above the $67,063 level on the one-day time frame would set the pace for a continuation to the $70,000 psychological level. In a highly bullish case, the gains could see BTC ascend to clear the $73,777 all-time high.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also recording higher lows, holding well above the mean level of 50. A higher high above the current RSI position could send the BTC price higher. Notably, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) has also moved into positive territory.

The green AO bars signal that the most recent market momentum is bullish. As it has climbed into positive territory, it suggests that the bullish momentum is strengthening. A stable move above the current support level would signify a change in market structure for the pioneer cryptocurrency.

BTC/USDT 1-day chart

Conversely, profit booking could see Bitcoin price drop below $65,500. If the correction extends, only a candlestick close below $57,500, and effectively a lower low below the May 1 bottom would invalidate the bullish thesis. 

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