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Analysis

Weekly column: Financial markets experience sharp reversals after cosmic events

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Employers added 209,000 jobs, and the unemployment rate fell to 3.6%. Employers ramped up wages as they competed for a limited pool of workers. The gains, while strong, marked a slowdown from earlier in the year  – Sarah Chaney Cambon, “Jobs Report Shows Hot Hiring Cooled in June; Wages Rose,” Wall Street Journal Online, July 7, 2023.

While Japan is on the “down” side of the roller coaster, the euro and British pound are on the up. The euro now trades at $1.09 per dollar, roughly a year after sinking to parity for the first time in two decades. It has appreciated nearly 14% since falling below 96 U.S. cents in September. An explanation for the euro’s strength is hard to discern. – “The Global Currency Roller Coaster: The Yen is the Warning That All Is Not Well for Monetary Policy,” The Editorial Board, Wall Street Journal, July 4, 2023.

It was a shortened holiday trading week. However, that didn’t stop financial markets from sharp and significant price action in the first week of trading following Neptune turning retrograde, a Full Moon, and the first of three passages involving Venus square Uranus between now and the end of September. Sharp reversals of recent trends suddenly erupted in several markets.

After ending the quarter on a very strong bullish note the previous week, with a  “gap up” and bullish island reversal” signal on Friday, June 30, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (and other U.S. indices) suddenly reversed course. After the holiday, the DJIA “gapped down” and formed a  new “bearish island reversal” on Thursday, July 6. This bearish turn was captured nicely in a timely Special Report sent out to subscribers on Tuesday, July 4, stating, “If I were only utilizing MMA’s market timing tools (i.e., cycles studies and geocosmic factors), I would be looking for a steep decline beginning at any time. Instead of being a high, as favored in the strategies section of the weekly subscription report, we cannot dismiss the very strong possibility that the primary cycle high could be forming right now. A close below 34,122 will negate the bullish island reversal setup. That would be bearish and suggest a steep decline into….”

For those unfamiliar with these strong charting signals and terms and how to integrate them with our market timing tools for optimal trading opportunities, let me suggest The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 5: Technical Analysis and Price Objectives.

Now, of course, the challenge is to determine whether this is the beginning of a decline to a primary cycle low or an even longer-term cycle that could last several months. This will be one of the key points of focus in next weekend’s annual Mid-Year Webinar on Financial Markets (see Announcements at the end of this column).

European indices showed even more stress than the U.S. markets. The declines in the London FTSE and Zurich SMI indices were especially sharp, with both falling to their lowest level in three months, with most of the decline taking place late last week.

In Asia and the Pacific Rim, the story was mixed. The Indian NIFTY soared to a new all-time high on Friday. The Japanese Nikkei index made a double top to its 33-year high on Monday, July 3, before plummeting about 1500 points by Friday’s low. The Australian ASX also took a hit on Friday, along with the Hang Seng of Hong Kong. But China’s Shanghai Index was already in the midst of a sharp decline that escalated after a brief rally into July 4 before returning southward and challenging its lows of 2023.

In other markets, Bitcoin made another yearly high on Thursday, July 6, at $31,500, but then suddenly reversed and lost nearly $2000 by the low of Friday. Crude Oil had a good week, rising to the 74.00 area after its recent low of 67.50 the prior week, June 27, just before Neptune turned retrograde. Neptune is a co-ruler of Crude Oil in our work. Gold fell to 1900 right on our three-star critical reversal date of June 29, then re-tested it at 1908 on Thursday, July 6, before running up to over 1940 on Friday, July 7. Silver likewise had a decent week as it tested 23.50 on July 5, following its cycle low of 22.14 on the June 21 summer solstice.

The bigger story was in the currency markets, where the Dollar/Yen soared to 145 on June 30, testing its yearly high, and then fell the rest of the last week. Yet the Euro remains near its highest levels in two months. It’s a very interesting and bizarre dichotomy in the currency markets, just the way Uranus in Taurus likes it, and especially following the week of Venus square Uranus. Venus and Taurus have an affinity for currency market activity. If it’s not money, then Venus (and Taurus, its ruling sign) seeks correspondence with love. They often go together. No money (security), no love.

Short-term geocosmics

Ryan argued on CNBC that he (Trump) and Biden “have a symbiotic relationship with each other. They make the best case for each other’s candidacies, and it’s a total disaster for our country,” he said.– Kevin Breuninger, ”Trump Is The Only Republican Who Will Lose to Biden in 2024, Paul Ryan Says,” www.cnbc.com, July 4, 2023.

The first primaries are just more than six months away, the first GOP debate is next month, and yet the only thing to be sure of is that clear and consistent majorities of Republicans, Democrats and independents don’t want the choice they’re likely to get, a race between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. If either party were daring and serious about history, it would shake off its front-runner and increase its chances of winning in 2024. – Peggy Noonan, “May Trump Soon Reach His Waterloo,” Wall Street Journal, July 8, 2023.

“A gaffe is when a politician tells the truth,” Michael Kinsey, as quoted by Steven E. Koonin, “The White House Tells the Truth About Climate Change: Global Temperature Change Barely Affects Economic Growth,” Wall Street Journal, July 6, 2023.

The employment data of Friday, July 7, was a little less impressive than forecasted. But maybe even less impressive when you consider that so many people need to work two or more jobs now, or even come out of retirement, to make ends meet as a consequence of the 2022 inflation rise. Yes, inflation is coming down from its heights of 2022, but the cost of living is still far above where it was going into 2022. If an item costs $50, soars to $100, and then comes back to $75, a politician can crow about bringing inflation down 25%. But it is still 50% higher than where it started. These are the kind of concerns the Fed and other world central banks face today. Do they start hiking rates again as they are doing in the UK to continue to fight against inflation, or do they sit tight and see if the recent spike in rates will start to have the desired effect? With Venus about to turn retrograde on July 22, we will soon find out, for under this retrograde, central banks often make surprise announcements and changes of policy. Because Venus is retrograde, it is often the case that the sudden policy changes don’t work out as planned. On a more personal level, since Venus rules beauty and appearance, the same can be said about decisions regarding these matters as well. Venus will be retrograde through the first week of September, so it may be wise to postpone any cosmetic surgery or costly home improvement decisions until then.

In terms of markets, the July 21 period contains some other very powerful gecosmic reversal signatures as well. As mentioned last week, “And then the next big bang erupts as Mars opposes Saturn (war-like and hot), the Sun opposes Pluto (possible threats and danger to crops and life), Jupiter semi-squares Neptune (floods and more irrational enthusiasm or panic), and the biggest bang of them all, Venus turns retrograde.” It’s possible that the contra-trends which started last week could continue into July 21 +/- 1 week. If so, another excellent trading period is right around the corner.

Thus, our July 16 Annual Mid-Year Webinar on Financial Markets will be very timely as we will outline which markets we think are poised to offer the most rewarding trading and investment opportunities as we head into powerful geocosmic signatures of July 21. We look forward to seeing many of you then, as there will be no column issued next week.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.


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