Technical analysis – EUR/GBP goes back to a downtrend
|-
EUR/GBP charts new 2 ½-year low after UK retail sales beat estimates.
-
Short-term bias is skewed to the downside, but price near familiar support line.
EURGBP plunged to a new 2½-year low of 0.8293, weighed by upbeat UK retail sales at 4.0% y/y and a dovish ECB policy stance, which raised concerns about the eurozone's growth.
The outlook appears grim: the RSI is declining in bearish territory, and the MACD has crossed below its signal line. However, the stochastic oscillator hints at a potential rebound from oversold levels as the price tests a critical support line established in December 2023.
If selling pressure persists below 0.8300, the pair could halt within the 0.8200-0.8250 range, a pivotal area from which the uptrend to 0.9249 began in 2022. A breach here could push the price towards 2016 levels and particularly to 0.8150.
Conversely, if buyers step in, immediate resistance could come from the 20-day simple moving average (EMA) at 0.8347. A step beyond 0.8400 could retest October's high of 0.8433 and then the 200-day SMA at 0.8488 and the falling resistance line from February 2023 at 0.8500.
In summary, EURGBP's downward trajectory continues, with limited signs of a bullish reversal on the horizon.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.