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Analysis

Something bigger in the making? Watch the signs building up currenty

Important News for the day

  • Fri, 28th EU German prelim. consumer price index.

  • Fri, 28th, 14:30 CET US PCE price index.

US tariffs

President Trump pointed out once more that tariffs against Mexico and Canada are being implemented on the 04th of March. Both countries would then face 25% duties on good imported to the US. Furthermore, also China will face 20% of duties on products imported to the United States. Stock markets seem to take this with a grain of salt for now. The prospects of rising prices and rowing momentum in the US economy seems to be reduced. Selling pressure had begun, which can be seen in all markets.

Market talk

The volatility in markets continues to rise and with it falling prices. In particular US stock markets show signs of bearish momentum. The VIX volatility index, which tracks the volatility on the S&P 500 equity index keeps pushing higher. Investors hence seem to be prepared to hedge their stock positions by purchasing options and pay higher premiums for that. Meanwhile also tech companies from China have lost some steam. The share price of Alibaba and Xiaomi show potential negative sentiment moving forward. Also the crypto market is heading to lower levels. Most tokens continue their slide in prices and the situation might be more intense here. Many traders invest in this market in leveraged positions and hence might need to be forced to liquidate once prices start to fall.

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities negative, USD stronger, cryptos weaker, oil weak, Silver weak, Gold weaker, JPY sideways.

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