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Analysis

How bad is US CPI and how fair is Bitcoin's 'fair value'? [Video]

Risk appetite was surprisingly strong into the US inflation data, expected to advance to another forty-year high at today’s print, but futures are pointing to the south this morning, as the US inflation data is still a threat to the overall market mood, and could be a pivot moment for this week.

There is a decent acceleration in the gold prices, as gold is now behaving positively in risk-on markets, and negatively in risk-off markets given that the rising yields hit appetite in gold as much as they hit appetite in equities. Therefore, if we see the markets changing direction and hit the south, again, we could well see gains in gold crumble and pull the price of an ounce back below the $1800 mark.

On the earnings front, news are good. BP, Disney and Uber announced strong earnings.

Elsewhere, gains in Bitcoin remained limited below the $38K mark. JP Morgan said that Bitcoin’s fair value is about the $38K level, though the way they compete the fair value may not be … fair after all!

 

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