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Analysis

GBPJPY falls after Carney; thick daily cloud weighs

GBPJPY

The cross fell back below daily cloud on Tuesday after dovish comments from BoE's Carney. Penetration into daily cloud (spanned between 141.85 and 144.07) and probe above 142.27 (Fibo 38.2% of 148.28/138.66 downleg) was short-lived and generated initial signal of stall.
Thick daily cloud weighs on the pair, along with bearishly aligned technical studies (20/55 SMA bear cross was formed at 142.18 yesterday) and uncertainty at the beginning of Brexit talks.
Fresh bearish acceleration through 100SMA (141.23) and 10SMA/Fibo 38.2% of 138.66/142.54 upleg (141.06) further weakens near-term structure, with daily Tenkan-sen (140.71) coming under increased pressure.
Daily close below 141.06 will be seen as strong bearish signal, while firm break below Tenkan-sen would generate initial signal of an end of corrective phase from 138.66.

Res: 141.23; 141.48; 141.85; 142.27
Sup: 140.71; 140.34; 140.14; 139.58

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