GBP/USD outlook: Stronger than expected UK GDP numbers lift cable to four-month high
|GBP/USD
Cable hit new four-month high in European trading on Thursday, lifted by better than expected UK May GDP numbers, which poured cold water on expectations for BoE rate cut next month.
Fresh strength broke through pivotal barriers at 1.2846/60 (200WMA/former top June 12) and pressuring key barrier at 1.2893 (2024 high, posted on March 8).
Firmly bullish technical picture on daily chart (Tenkan/Kijun-sen forming a bull-cross and bullish momentum is strengthening) support the action, though headwinds on approach to 1.2893 could be expected, due to overbought conditions and significance of barrier.
Markets shift focus towards release of US June inflation report which is expected to provide fresh signals.
Weaker than expected US CPI numbers would further boost pound as further easing in consumer prices would bring the Fed one step closer to rate cut and subsequently deflate dollar.
Cable could accelerate through 1.2900 and probably challenge psychological 1.30 barrier, in case of stronger CPI downside miss.
Conversely, bulls may lose traction if US price pressures rise in June.
Session low (1.2845) offer initial support, followed by 1.2800/1.2780 (psychological / daily higher base and 1.2760/53 (rising 10DMA / broken Fibo 76.4% of 1.2893/1.2299).
Res: 1.2893; 1.2900; 1.2950; 1.3000.
Sup: 1.2845; 1.2800; 1.2780; 1.2753.
Interested in GBP/USD technicals? Check out the key levels
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.