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Analysis

BRICS, the Dollar and equities

Important news for the day

  • Tue, 03rd, 16:00 CET            US        JOLTS job openings

BRICS

Former US President Trump announced that BRICS nations would face 100% tariffs if they pursue a new currency and shift trade away from the US Dollar. This move appears aimed at pressuring the bloc but risks accelerating de-dollarization efforts and alienating key trade partners. Given the U.S.'s reliance on imports from BRICS nations, such tariffs could exacerbate domestic inflation and disrupt global supply chains. The strategy may backfire, potentially driving BRICS members closer in their economic cooperation and diversification plans.

Market talk

The weakness of the Dollar seems to continue. The Dollar index shows fresh downside momentum based on the daily chart and might hence remain capped below the technical resistance zone at 107.50. The weakness could also help equities to the upside, which might cause the S&P 500 to run higher for now. Crypto markets remain mixed. Bitcoin is still heading lower, with the upside still intact, though. XRP had another tremendous run and seems unstoppable for now. A strong correction seems overdue - the question is when? 

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities positive, USD weaker, cryptos strong, oil weak, metals positive, JPY stronger.

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